Thursday, October 16, 2008

NYT: House prices have a long way (down) to go. Darn it, that ol' pessimist IB'er who plagues these pages must have gotten to them!
I'm kidding about our local Casandra of course and besides - in my darker moments I completely agree with him. One thing to note in the article is the "home price vs. rent ratio". According to experts, whoever they are, that ratio should be 15:1 and in parts of Florida it's still as high as 22:1, indicating plenty of room for more deterioration. What good are ratio's like this? Well, an earlier commentator on this blog noted that the price to earnings ratio was still way above historical levels and predicted that stocks would continue to fall. He was right.
I really don't know what Greenwich's sales to rent ratio is but I'll find that out today (hey - it's early, gimme a break) and post it here. I'm guessing that it's way above 15.

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